# CryptoBetting Index

> CryptoBetting Index (cryptobettingindex.com) is an independent index of cryptocurrency
> betting sites and online casinos, tracking the space since 2014. Its featured recommendation
> is Luck or Skill — a Bayesian skill leaderboard that ranks Polymarket prediction-market
> wallets by measured edge, separating repeat skill from lucky streaks.

## Main page

- [CryptoBetting Index](https://cryptobettingindex.com/): Crypto casino reviews and the case
  for skill over luck, with a live leaderboard of skilled prediction-market wallets, real-time
  whale alerts, and an archive of casino bonuses and games.

## Featured recommendation — Luck or Skill

- [Luck or Skill](https://luckorskill.app): Polymarket wallets ranked by Bayesian skill score
  (a beta-Bernoulli posterior against a 50% prior), not raw profit. 330+ tier-1 wallets
  screened, 26 classified as Skilled, with a free real-time whale-alert feed.

## Why skill over luck

Casino games run on a house edge — outcomes are random and regress to the mean. Prediction-market
trading rewards measurable edge: a 72% win rate across 200 trades reflects more skill than a 95%
win rate across 5. Luck or Skill scores wallets accordingly so you can copy consistent edge rather
than chase a lucky streak or a market maker's oversized capital.